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Asteroid Apophis 2036 strike threat
Topic Started: Oct 8 2009, 01:24 PM (772 Views)
Quillian
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Good news: NASA downgraded it.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story...0-12335,00.html

Quote:
 

NASA has sharply downgraded the threat that a massive asteroid could slam into Earth in 2036.

Apophis, which captured widespread attention when it was discovered in 2004 and it was learned that it might pose a threat to Earth, is two-and-a-half times the size of a football field.

There is now a one-in-250,000 chance of a collision with Earth in 2036, sharply down from an earlier estimate of a one-in-45,000-chance, according to new calculations by Steve Chesley and Paul Chodas of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory California.

They will present their results at the conference of the American Astronomical Society in Puerto Rico on October 8.

"The refined orbital determination further reinforces that Apophis is an asteroid we can look to as an opportunity for exciting science and not something that should be feared,'' Don Yeomans, manager of the Near-Earth Object Program Office at JPL, said.

At first, astronomers worried the 270m asteroid had a 2.7 per cent chance of colliding with Earth in 2029.

Later calculations ruled out a collision in that year.

Apophis is slated to sail no closer than 29,450km above Earth's surface on April 13, 2029.
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Dakatsu
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FLYING PRESS
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29,450km is still pretty close in my book.
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Taneis
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I can do more than talk! I can pontificate!
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It doesn't matter. The world is coming to an end on Dec 21, 2012 anyway.
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LGHunter
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Lost and tired...
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What is up with December 21, 2012? Can someone link me to the story?

Nevermind... the internet is an aquaintence of mine, that shows me things every so often.

And I also have my honey to tell me these things too.

I am dumb.
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Sabre_Justice
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Not really, compared to the believe that actually believe this stuff.

Why don't we ever hear about meteors hitting the moon? This one might make a new crater.
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csadn
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LGHunter,Oct 8 2009
11:01 PM
I am dumb.

Not half as dumb as the nitwits who've completely misinterpreted what the "end" of
the Mayan calendar actually means -- in simple terms, when this round ends, the whole
calendar increments upwards by one. (IIRC, the Mayan calendar can record dates
accurately out to 40 million....)
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LGHunter
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Lost and tired...
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Incriments "upwards"? Just keeps going?
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Sabre_Justice
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Ask me about very angry cats
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csadn,Oct 9 2009
06:54 AM
LGHunter,Oct 8 2009
11:01 PM
I am dumb.

Not half as dumb as the nitwits who've completely misinterpreted what the "end" of
the Mayan calendar actually means -- in simple terms, when this round ends, the whole
calendar increments upwards by one. (IIRC, the Mayan calendar can record dates
accurately out to 40 million....)

Basically, it's like saying the world's going to on December 31st.
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HunteRS
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Power is all that is needed.
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Doesn't matter anyway-all Apocalypses are shit and never as much fun as fictional ones.
I mself am hoping for a Mad Max/ Fist of the North Star post apocalyptica.
And Roland Emmerich can go fuck himself.
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Taneis
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When I first heard about the alignment that's supposed to happen on that date, I thought how cool is it that the Maya knew so much about astronomy that they could predict events that far into the future. Of course, I wanted to learn more, and was disappointed to find out there is no such event. Goes to show you can never be satisfied which just a little knowledge.

Edit: I have just realized that bringing up this topic has caused certain ads to show up on this page, for which I am very, very sorry.
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csadn
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LGHunter,Oct 9 2009
12:24 PM
Incriments "upwards"? Just keeps going?

Think of it as the difference between "999,999" and "1,000,000" -- yes, it's Only One
Higher, but we've Added A Place To The Left Of The Decimal. It's only important to
people who have nothing else to worry about. :)
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LGHunter
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Lost and tired...
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csadn,Oct 10 2009
12:38 AM
LGHunter,Oct 9 2009
12:24 PM
Incriments "upwards"?  Just keeps going?

Think of it as the difference between "999,999" and "1,000,000" -- yes, it's Only One
Higher, but we've Added A Place To The Left Of The Decimal. It's only important to
people who have nothing else to worry about. :)

Oh... ok... :wacko: /dumb blonde routine
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Taneis
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If an asteroid really was going to hit the earth, what would you do? I assume our governments would be useless and we would all be on our own. If you were fortunate enough to not be under it when it hit, do you think you would survive?

Given my present skills and resources, I think I might have a 60% chance. I arrived at this conclusion with no math what so ever :P
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Sabre_Justice
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I'd probably spend my last days in a drunken haze, along with the rest of my country.
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el-b
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under your bed
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well as long as we have time to get a plucky group of oil drillers onto that thing we have no problem...unless its a team full of steve buscemis.
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Kaempfer
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Sabre_Justice,Oct 10 2009
06:59 PM
I'd probably spend my last days in a drunken haze, along with the rest of my country.

That's as good of a way to spend the apocalypse as any I'd say. :D
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Jeffk38uk
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I'd try to do one of those things you do before you die.

Like No. 67. Lunge wildly at the Pope.
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Kaempfer
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Boop beep boop
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Jeffk38uk,Oct 10 2009
08:13 PM
I'd try to do one of those things you do before you die.

Like No. 67. Lunge wildly at the Pope.

I'd rather stick with the drunken party idea and not get shot to death by the Swiss guard. :D
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csadn
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Taneis,Oct 10 2009
04:31 PM
If an asteroid really was going to hit the earth, what would you do?

Depends on where it's landing -- no sense building a cave-bunker if I'm at GZ or
within CEP of same. :)
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Sabre_Justice
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Ask me about very angry cats
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What if an asteroid was gonna hit the moon?
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el-b
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under your bed
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who cares? weve started bombing it, nature might as well carry on as well lol.

sea levels would rise if the moon altered its orbit in anyway, and of course wed all be fucked if that orbit landed it right in earth.

that would be an epic disaster movie plot lol.
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Taneis
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I vaguely remember watching a movie involving the moon-crushing scenario on tv.

If I was at GZ, I think I would stand outside and watch it come in. That would be the most spectacular thing anyone would ever see in their lifetime, and if you're going to die might as well not miss it. If I wasn't at GZ, I'd set up some cameras so I could watch from my cave or wherever I'm hiding. Then I would start my drunken haze, because there's not much you can do while waiting for the sun to come back. Nothing a drunken haze can't improve, anyway :D

Jeff is now my hero.
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Jeffk38uk
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Kaempfer,Oct 11 2009
06:07 AM
Jeffk38uk,Oct 10 2009
08:13 PM
I'd try to do one of those things you do before you die.

Like No. 67. Lunge wildly at the Pope.

I'd rather stick with the drunken party idea and not get shot to death by the Swiss guard. :D

That's easy to fix, just pretend the Illuminati are back terrorising the chuch and send them a professor to solve the problem. When they've gone, lunge at the pope.
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Kaempfer
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Sabre_Justice,Oct 11 2009
01:41 AM
What if an asteroid was gonna hit the moon?

Well, I don't think any asteroid is big enough to knock the moon out of orbit, so I won't worry about it. Now if you want something lunar-related to worry about, just think about the fact that the moon is always falling.
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Jeffk38uk
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Kaempfer,Oct 11 2009
09:11 PM
Sabre_Justice,Oct 11 2009
01:41 AM
What if an asteroid was gonna hit the moon?

Well, I don't think any asteroid is big enough to knock the moon out of orbit, so I won't worry about it. Now if you want something lunar-related to worry about, just think about the fact that the moon is always falling.

Which moon are we talking about?
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